NEW DELHI: A recent study of Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) has revealed alarming fact on Cornavirus impact on Delhi. The study has found that in a best-case scenario, infections in Delhi can cross 2 lakh.
According to a Fianancial Express report, in the the worst-case scenario, the infections can rise up to 10 million, suggests the numbers put out by Ramanan Laxminarayan, of the US-based Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy are not as outlandish as many have made out to be; Laxminarayan had estimated that 1 million people could eventually die in India while the number getting infected could be over 300 million. This study was done before India initiated a nationwide lockdown.
The ICMR study, to be part of a special edition of the Indian Journal of Medical Research, chose Delhi along with Mumbai, Bengaluru and Kolkata as these are the big entry points for those coming from countries that are badly impacted by Coronavirus.
Researchers from ICMR and Imperial College, London, arrived at the projections, based on their mathematical modelling to study the feasibility of limiting local infections through screening of travellers from countries with Covid-19 countries and the extent to which a Covid-19 strategy could be limited by quarantining.
